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AfriStatsXchange Report · 2026-11-15 11:43
Copper Exports comparison (March vs September 2025) by Border Office

Zambaie border post trade data · saved 2026-09-22

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Summary

Copper exports declined by 7.17% from 115.02M Kg in March to 106.77M Kg in September 2025, with major volumes shifting from NKO (-21.9%) to KZU (+29.2%).

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2026-09-22 12:16 · Diederik de Roos

Executive Summary of Copper Exports: March vs September 2025

A comparison of copper exports (HS Chapter 74) from Zambaie border posts between March and September 2025 shows a overall 7.17% decrease in total volume, falling from 115.02 million Kg to 106.77 million Kg. This decrease was primarily driven by lower export volumes at NKO (down 11.82 million Kg) and CHR (down 3.18 million Kg).

Border Office Performance Analysis

Border Office March 2025 (Kg) September 2025 (Kg) Absolute Change (Kg) % Change Share in March Share in Sept
NKO 53,948,993.59 42,128,983.40 -11,820,010.19 -21.9% 46.9% 39.5%
KZU 24,404,244.60 31,540,488.80 +7,136,244.20 +29.2% 21.2% 29.5%
KTM 21,068,583.33 22,126,514.00 +1,057,930.67 +5.0% 18.3% 20.7%
CHR 11,061,116.00 7,877,276.20 -3,183,839.80 -28.8% 9.6% 7.4%
CHD 1,970,284.00 2,919,477.00 +949,193.00 +48.2% 1.7% 2.7%
VFL 2,564,038.00 150,378.00 -2,413,660.00 -94.1% 2.2% 0.1%
MWA 0.00 31,366.00 +31,366.00 New 0.0% <0.1%
LUF 1,720.00 0.00 -1,720.00 -100% <0.1% 0.0%
LIA 0.00 21.60 +21.60 New 0.0% <0.1%
KSU 2.45 3.00 +0.55 +22.4% <0.1% <0.1%
Total 115,018,981.97 106,774,508.00 -8,244,473.97 -7.2% 100% 100%

Key Takeaways

  1. Top Dominant Ports: Three border offices—NKO, KZU, and KTM—consistently handled over 85% of all copper exports in both months (86.4% in March and 89.7% in September).
  2. Shift from NKO to KZU: The biggest shift occurred as NKO saw exports contract by 21.9% (down 11.8M Kg), while KZU expanded by 29.2% (up 7.14M Kg), indicating a potential routing shift towards southern exits.
  3. Plunge at VFL: VFL saw a dramatic 94.1% collapse in copper trade, dropping from 2.56M Kg in March to just 150k Kg in September.
  4. Intermediate Volatility: Although comparing March and September shows a slight decline, the timeline reveals massive mid-year volatility, with copper exports peaking at 249.14 million Kg in August 2025, more than double either of the compared months.
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Source: AfriStatsXchange · https://asx.octoplus.co.za/analysis/chart/10e92335-0033-4040-a395-2e9a9010d554